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Authoritative Independent Monthly Share Selections Using Technical & Fundamental Analysis

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Southern Cross - Shock profit warning

August 2008

Investing in shares may lose you all or some of your money. Past performance is no indication of future performance. Some of the shares recommended here may be small company shares, which can be relatively illiquid and hard to trade and this makes such shares more risky than other investments.

  • Epic Code:
  • SCHE
  • Price:
  • 15p
Care home operator Southern Cross produced a shocking profit warning, which it blamed on two main bug bears: an expected fall in occupancy and problems with refinancing bank debt. The combination of residents dying more often than usual (which it calls higher attrition) as well as central government funding to local authorities coming in later than usual has led to lower occupancy. Given the firm's high fixed cost base this will lead to a significant shortfall in profits and means adjusted EBITDA is unlikely to exceed £80m for the current year to 30 September, compared to £66.8m last year. The other problem is that it has been unable to repay a tranche of £46m of debt originally due for repayment on 30 June and which relates to ...

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With small companies there is an above average degree of risk compared to buying blue chips. Please be aware that we have not assessed the suitability of any of these investments for you. The newsletter simply states a personal view and diarises the editor’s investment decisions. Please speak to your stockbroker or other qualified individual to ascertain whether any of these companies mentioned would form useful additions to your own portfolios. Past performance is no indication of future success.

All material on this website is protected by copyright. You may use Information retrieved from the www.scsw.co.uk website for your own personal non-commercial use which means that you may not sell or copy this information to any third party without prior written consent. ISSN 1358-183X

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